The possibilities that could occur on 901...

2012 begins with the end of a sandiwara, where a male political aide who was allegedly sodomized had the time to sip a cup of coffee, with curry puffs, after being vigorously defiled by his aged attacker.

This is in addition to a string of factual controversies such as the aide’s ability to not drink, eat, and excrete for two days after the alleged incident, and that semen was ‘found’ in both orifice – the mouth and the anus.

The test results concluded that three different DNA samples were apparent in the ‘found’ semen. Despite the samples being left in the open by the officer in-charge. And might I add another alleged affair between the victim and the X-chromosome Deputy Public Prosecutor (DPP).

Yes, I’m referring to our Opposition Leader Anwar Ibrahim, who is the forebearer of the injustice of our Malaysia judicial system. The Malaysian public is anxious to know the judgment, which the Kuala Lumpur High Court will deliver on Monday, Jan 9.

Here are some of the possibilities that could occur on Jan 9:

i) Anwar is found guilty (90% probability)

This seems to be the general consensus within the public and I might add that the High Court will put a stay on execution so that Anwar can appeal his case. This would be a win-win scenario for Barisan Nasional and Umno because a ‘guilty’ verdict might sway the rural voters into believing the sexual promiscuity of our opposition leader.

It will also be an efficient way to further prolong the case, to exert more stress and pressure on Anwar and to weaken Pakatan Rakyat. BN/Umno might want to deny Anwar from contesting in the upcoming general election by disqualifying him owing to his guilty verdict, thus allegedly creating a leadership vacuum within Pakatan, hoping that such a move might cause the alliance between PKR, DAP, and PAS to disintegrate.

Pakatan has already taken precaution by announcing that a replacement is already in place in case anything happens to Anwar.

ii) Anwar is ordered to jail immediately (50% probability)

This is definitely a conundrum for Umno as its warlords have been debating for months on the pros and cons of jailing Anwar. By putting Anwar to jail, proponents have justified that the alliance within the component parties of Pakatan would be weakened severely as thousands of members in PKR would leave the party.

This then will reinforce the mentality of the rural folks that DAP is infact the leader of Pakatan. This move, to strike fast and hard could face severely negative repercussions for the BN as tens of thousands of people, if not more, would go on the streets to protest the judgment.

If not for the Arab Springs and the global protest phenomenon happening all over the globe – where the will to protest seem not to dissipate even after nearly approaching a one year anniversary – this would have been the most likely option for the Najib administration.

PKR is currently assembling 100,000 members to support Anwar during his verdict, as a counter measure to BN. The police had just approved the rally, which would be held in the open car park in front of the High Court.

iii) Anwar is acquitted (< 5%)

BN might hope that by acquitting Anwar, and allowing the prosecution to appeal the judgment, the government might be able to demonstrate the independance and fairness of our judicial system.

The Prime Minister might also hope that this would convince the urban voters that actual change is happening in the political environment and along with the 1Malaysia campaigning, will propel BN/Umno back to recovering its two thirds majority with the support of both rural and urban voters.

This tactic might be seen as a good sell but it creates too many uncertainty for BN/Umno and with the current political landscape, uncertainty is never a good thing.

Anwar has just stated the importance of having a strong opposition and that a simple majority in the government is enough, even if Pakatan comes into power.

iv) The High Court will postpone its judgment (20% probability)

The High Court might just postpone its judgment, citing safety concerns due to the masses of people, seemingly trying to devour the Malaysian courts. Postponing judgments will allow the BN/Umno to observe the political strength of Pakatan.

Regardless of the Jan 9 outcome, I believe the desire for change among Malaysians is not confined to the opposition leader. The people are tired of the economic and political piracy of Barisan National and the Najib-Umno administration.

Pakatan has already shown to be better administrators in Penang, Kedah, Kelantan and Selangor than their BN/Umno counterparts who had more than 54 years to prove their sincerity and worthiness.

Pakatan believes in freedom and equality for all. Pakatan believes that Malaysians are able and talented, who can stand on their own feet and succeed.

Pakatan believes that Malaysia is the greatest country, and that the current mismanagement and excessive corruption of the ruling BN government is causing our children to leave the homeland unwillingly.

We have asked the police to facilitate the Jan 9 peaceful gathering, a right enshrined in our Federal Constitution, and we welcome our opposition to have their assembly, including Umno and Perkasa.

Let 901 be the day of liberty – history is in the making – and the day our people are finally allowed to express their rights as enshrined in our constitution.- Hee Loy Sian

source:FMT

Jailing Anwar: Umno poised to make its biggest mistake on Jan 9

cheers.