Sebuah kajian Universiti Malaya mendapati majoriti pengundi atas pagar percaya Ketua Umum PKR, Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim lebih layak menjadi Perdana Menteri selepas Pilihan Raya Umum ke 13 (PRU-13) nanti.
Kajian yang dijalankan dari 26 Disember 2012 hingga 11 Januari 2013 itu mendapati 44 peratus responden yang dikategorikan pengundi atas pagar percaya Anwar lebih layak menjadi Perdana Menteri.
Pada masa sama hanya 31 peratus pengundi atas pagar di dalam kajian Pusat Kajian Demokrasi dan Pilihan Raya Universiti Malaya (UMCEDEL) itu, melihat Najib sebagai lebih layak.
Seramai 41 peratus responden yang dianggap pengundi atas pagar menganggap Anwar lebih berwibawa sebagai pemimpin dalam pentadbiran kerajaan.
Pada masa sama hanya 36 peratus daripada mereka melihat Najib sebagai lebih berwibawa.
Dalam soalan sama, 45 peratus pula tidak bersetuju sekiranya Najib dianggap pemimpin berwibawa berbanding Anwar 11 peratus.
Kategori pengundi atas pagar itu merupakan 21 peratus daripada 1,409 responden yang dibanci di dalam kajian itu dan yang menjawab “tidak pasti” kepada soalan:
“Parti manakah yang dijangka menang di peringkat nasional dalam PRU-13 dan menguasai Putrajaya.”
Manakala 42 peratus yang dibanci menjangkakan Umno-BN akan memenangi PRU-13 berbanding 37 peratus untuk Pakatan Rakyat.
Profil 21 peratus golongan atas pagar tersebut didapati pengundi Cina adalah golongan tertinggi dengan 53 peratus, Melayu 37 peratus dan India 10 peratus.
Golongan berpendidikan ijazah pula mencatatkan 49 peratus dari golongan sama, pengundi bawah umur 30 tahun sebanyak 51 peratus dan kali pertama mengundi 48 peratus.
Kajian tersebut dibentangkan oleh Pengarah UMCEDEL, Prof Dr Mohammad Redzuan Othman dalam ‘Forum Pra Pilihan Raya: Siapa Akan Menang PRU-13?’ di Hotel Singgahsana malam tadi.
Dr Mohammad Redzuan berkata sokongan golongan tersebut boleh dianggap penting kerana mereka adalah pengundi penentu kemenangan sesuatu parti dalam PRU-13 nanti.
“Kajian kami mendapati dari 1,409 responden, masih terdapat 21 peratus golongan tidak pasti yang masih boleh direbut, ia satu jumlah besar” ujarnya.
Kajian sama juga menunjukkan jangkaan bahawa PR akan terus menang di peringkat nasional meningkat manakala kepercayaan terhadap kemenangan Umno-BN dilihat merosot.
Dalam tempoh 1-16 September 2012, 44 peratus responden menjangkakan Umon-BN akan menang, 30 peratus PR dan tidak pasti 26 peratus.
Manakala kajian 31 Mac – 15 April 2012 menunjukkan BN memperolehi 49 peratus, PR 21 peratus dan tidak pasti sebanyak 30 peratus.-f/book
Kit Siang buka laluan Pakatan tawan Johor?
While PR has introduced some of their candidates, BN's candidate list remains unclear...
The BN has made an all-out effort to create a feel-good atmosphere but its political strategy is not as flexible as the Pakatan Rakyat's.
The Pakatan Rakyat has started to unveil its candidates and displayed its strength. The BN, meanwhile, is still carefully selecting candidates and considering constituency exchanges, causing election campaign activities in some constituencies are now lagging behind.
Take the DAP as an example, some candidates have been decided, such as Negeri Sembilan DAP chairman and Lobak state assemblymen Anthony Loke will be contesting for the Chennah state seat; party parliamentary leader Lim Kit Siang will contest for the Gelang Patah parliamentary seat and Himpunan Hijau chairman Wong Tack will contest for the Bentong parliamentary seat.
Opposition leader Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim had also announced on Wednesday some PKR parliamentary seat candidates. His daughter Nurul Izzah will seek re-election in Lembah Pantai and PKR strategic director Mohd Rafizi Ramli will contest for the Pandan parliamentary seat. Also, five Sarawak parliamentary seat candidates have also been decided.
There are also some signs showing the deployment of PAS, including party vice-president Salahuddin Ayub will be contesting in Johor while former Perak Menteri Besar Datuk Seri Mohammad Nizar Jamaluddin will be contesting for the Changkat Jering state seat.
As for the BN, the candidate list remains unclear. It was reported that MCA vice-presidents Datuk Seri Dr Ng Yen Yen and Gan Ping Sieu would not be contesting in their original or preferred parliamentary constituencies. Gan's supporters even rushed to the MCA headquarters with the hope to change the situation.
There might be undercurrent in Kluang and forces Gan to shift to contest in Tebrau. However, he is rejected by local division members.
Umno is eyeballing the Wangsa Maju parliamentary seat while the MCA is not willing to make a concession. Regardless of who is going to be fielded to contest for the seat, it will trigger discontentment of the other party. If the contradiction could not be suppressed, it would be unfavourable to the BN and PKR candidate Datuk Dr Tan Kee Kwong could then wait for redemption.
In addition, there are also different views on whether former MCA president Datuk Seri Ong Tee Keat will seek for re-election in the Pandan parliamentary constituency under the BN banner.
Pakatan Rakyat leaders also take the strategy of making a breakthrough to drive the whole force.
The decision of fielding Lim Kit Siang to contest in Gelang Patah has disrupted the MCA's original layout. Who would be fielded by the BN to counter the DAP's attacks in Chinese-majority constituencies? No one among MCA candidates can rival Lim. The MCA is now hastily defending against the DAP's strong attack.
Lim has started to canvass for votes in Gelang Patah and once the Parliament is dissolved, he can then help his compatriots in other states or constituencies.
After Lim shifted to contest in Johor, Anwar said he might not seek re-election in Permatang Pauh and instead contest in Perak or Selangor.
Permatang Pauh is the political base of Anwar and thus, regardless of who is contesting, the seat will be kept. It can help to create a momentum and seek an additional seat if Anwar contests in other states.
It might be a move to confuse the BN when Anwar said he might leave Penang to contest in other states, but it has reflected that the Pakatan Rakyat's strategy is more flexible. If Pakatan Rakyat leaders disperse to different front-line states, the BN will have to develop a different coping strategy.
Basically, the three component parties of the Pakatan Rakyat have placed their leaders in different states, while Umno's Menteri Besar candidate for Selangor remains a mystery. The BN has been too dependent on coalition chairman Datuk Seri Najib Razak's personal charm while the images of individual leaders are not obvious enough.
Another example showing that the Pakatan Rakyat's election preparation progress is ahead of the BN's is, the Pakatan Rakyat has revealed its election manifesto on 25 February 2013.
Based on the BN's election preparation progress, the changes of the Pakatan Rakyat's strategy and Najib's cautious style, the date to dissolve the Parliament might be further postponed, as the BN wants to make a sally only when it has greatest confidence.- sinchewdaily
Siri Jelajah Merdeka Rakyat Anwar Ibrahim & Jeneral (B) Tan Sri Hashim Hussein Ke Johor
23 Mac 2013 (Sabtu)
1) 5.00 - 7.00 ptg – Dialog Professional Bersama Anwar Ibrahim
Lokasi: Dewan Restoran Chia Ping, Jln Hang Tuah,
Taman Skudai Baru, Skudai
2) 8.30-12.00 mlm – Ceramah Perdana Pakatan Harapan Rakyat
Lokasi: Taman Cemara, Kampong Sari, Simpang Renggam
3) 8.30-12.00 mlm – Ceramah Perdana Merdeka Rakyat
Lokasi: Jln Aman, Kampong Melayu Majidee, Johor Baru
4) Barisan Penceramah:
a.YB Dato’ Seri Anwar Ibrahim
b.Jeneral (B) Tan Sri Hashim Hussein
c.YBhg Dato’ Seri Chua Jui Meng
d.YB Sallehuddin Ayub
e.YB Dr Boo Cheng Hau
f.YB Saifuddin Nasution
g.YB Tian Chua
h.YBhg Mazlan Aliman
i.YBhg Tan Poh Lai
j.YBhg Rosli Kemin
k.YBhg Andrew Cheng Kah Eng
cheers.
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