12 October 2020

Landskap politik negara pasca 1013....

Hantu2 mengarang senarai palsu mengenai siapa sokong Anwar dan edarkan di medsos.
Walaun pun ramai percaya tapi MP yang sertai semua diam membisu. Atuk mati kutu. Pak lebai bengang nak sokong side mana. Dan pak lebai pun tertanya-tanya siapa di kalangan pak lebai yang sign SD sokong Anwar. Boleh jadi senarai itu palsu atau wakil rakyat Umno itu main wayang. Depan kata palsu tapi diam2 setuju sebab habuan menunggu. 

Semua jadi celaru dan buntu kerana Anwar buat kerja dalam diam2, tiba2 terus umumkan semasa kempen di PRN Sabah. "Saya dah ada cukup majoriti untuk bentuk kembali kerajaan PH bersama sokongan MP lain" kata Anwar. Yang mula2 meloncat ialah Atuk. Agaknya beliau itu kalau tengah nak nazak pun boleh meloncat bila terdengar Anwar nak jadi Menteri Perdana! -Akang Baim
UMNO : UMNO dijangka akan berpecah kpd 3 kumpulan. Satu yg ikut DSAI secara terang2,,.. satu lagi kumpulan lalang yg mengambil sikap 'tunggu dan lihat' perkembangan dan satu kumpulan lagi kekal dgn BN yg asal bersama MCA dan MIC.

Bersatu : Bersatu dijangka akan berpecah kpd 2 kumpulan. Satu akan kekal setia dgn Muhyiddin, dan satu kumpulan lagi, terutama majoriti kumpulan yg melompat dari UMNO pasca PRU14 akan menjadi lalang. Kumpulan ini secara senyap2 akan menyokong kerajaan PH 2.0 dari belakang.

PAS : PAS seperti dijangka.. akan kekal bangang sampai kiamat. - Muhammad Yahaya


Dengaq kata yang DAP hanya bagi sokongan tapi tak menyertai kabinet...kalu gitu ada lagikah suara sasau nak ratib kerajaan DAP? Kabinet tanpa DAP! DAP dah sedia berkorban demi negara lebih cemerlang!

Kononya ada dua MP dari parti agama bulan tak purnama akan lompat dan menyokong kerajaan baru , pihak ibu pejabat parti itu yang beralamat di Jln Raja Sungai telah mengeluarkan amaran keras. Sesiapa yang melompat, hukumnya kapiaq dan kalu mati, tidak lagi sekadar ditanam di jirat, sebaliknya akan dibakaq. "Terbakaq dihutan nampak apinya, terbakaq dihati tak sapapun yang tahu..." 

Ramai orang khuatir Anwar dah berjinak2 dengan UMNO dan silap haribulan dia pula ditelan oleh geng penyangak dalam parti penyamun itu. Walau bagaimana pun soal baik atau buruk UMNO tak payah cakap kat Anwar. Dia lebih kenai UMNO dari orang UMNO sendiri... - TS
Takat ni yang dok meroyan teruk ialah PAS. UMNO senyap, Zahid senyap, Najib senyap, Nazri Aziz senyap, Ku Li pun senyap. Barangkali si Taki sedih pasai jawatannya akan hilang jika peralihan itu jadi kenyataan. Bekas banduan jadi PM taklah pelik! Tapi yang pelik gi sokong bekas PM bakal jadi banduan...

Ramai MP dan NGO buat report polis,awat depa ingat Anwar nak lari ke? Dia dah duduk dlm pagar besi bebelas tahun sebelum depa ni kenai apa itu politik,tolol. Mudah2an Anwar jadi PM! bukan apa, aku nak tau pasai apa si Mahathir ni takut sangat dia jadi PM?  Apa2 pun yang penting dalam perhitungan ini adalah... - TS


Fight for Putrajaya: As Oct 13 looms, 
guessing and speculations mount...

So Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim has been granted what he has always wanted – an audience with the Yang di-Pertuan Agong to, in his own words "present documentation of the strong and convincing majority of MPs" supporting him, which he first proclaimed at a press conference on September 23.

It's not difficult to recall that at that press conference, Anwar claimed he had the majority support which he described as "solid and convincing" for him to take control of Putrajaya as "the government of Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin has fallen".

He announced also that he was supposed to have an audience with the Yang di-Pertuan Agong a day earlier, i.e. Sept 22 (which Istana Negara later confirmed) but this was postponed as the King was unwell.

Istana Negara confirmed that the Yang di-Pertuan Agong had been admitted to the royal ward at the National Heart Institute on Sept 21. According to Anwar. he could not, or rather would not, give details i.e. the numbers he had without first informing the King which is "the proper thing to do".

Now that he has been granted an audience scheduled for Tuesday October 13 at Istana Negara, he will have the opportunity he has been seeking, to make good his words. At stake is not only his reputation and credibility but also his political career. To say it straight, quite a number of people have cast doubts even to the point of ridiculing his claims of having the numbers.

Detractors jumped in to draw parallel to the claims he made in 2008 that he had the numbers to wrest federal power which did not materialize. Why? The answer one gets depends on whom one talks to. But all that is in the past which has no consequences to what we are seeing now.

When Anwar made his announcement on Sept 23, many a political observer went on record to say the opposition leader needed to give proof to what he was saying but at the same time not go all the way to dispel his claims outright. In short, they were unsure as to what the real or actual picture was.

Now a political observer tells me, "Anwar's audience with the King would be helpful to put an end to speculations and guessing game which have left the Muhyiddin government on shaky grounds ever since Anwar made the claims of having a convincing majority".

The Muhyiddin administration on shaky grounds, I agree. I'm sure many would say that is stating the obvious – what with the government's razor-thin majority in the Parliament and the dispute over Perikatan Nasional among the parties in government.
The observer went on to say that since Anwar's claims of having the majority, "Muhyiddin has been quite mute in trying to disapprove Anwar's claims, thereby fueling much speculation." If I may add, Muhyiddin's response was to state that he was still prime minister until proven otherwise.

In a statement issued hours after Anwar made the claims, Muhyiddin said this (Anwar's) claim "needs to be proven through the processes and procedures determined by the Federal Constitution, and without undergoing that process Anwar's statement is a mere allegation".

Critics and detractors of Anwar stepped in to "advise"the opposition leader to prove his numbers in the Parliament, but his supporters retorted, saying the Parliament would only reconvene in November and only the prime minister can request for a special sitting. This was confirmed by Speaker Datuk Azhar Harun. And Anwar's supporters say it would be "far fetched", to put it mildly, to expect Muhyiddin to call for a special Dewan Rakyat sitting just for Anwar to prove his numbers.

And they are skeptical that even in the event of Anwar putting up a motion of no confidence against the prime minister, it would be accepted by the Speaker. And even if the motion is accepted, they say there is no guarantee it will be tabled in November or any other time, pointing to Tun Mahathir Mohamad's no confidence motion against Muhyiddin. Although accepted by former Speaker Tan Sri Mohd Ariff Yusof, it has not seen the light of day, as "government matters always take precedence in Parliament".

Hence, Anwar's best option is naturally to seek an audience with the Yang di-Pertuan Agong. The Constitution allows the Yang di-Pertuan Agong to decide whether to ask a prime minister who has lost support to resign or dissolve the Parliament paving the way for election.

The Constitution also stipulates that the Yang di-Pertuan Agong is empowered to appoint as prime minister the Member of Parliament "who in his judgment is likely to command the confidence of the majority of members of the House". The Yang di-Pertuan Agong is key to the matter as the final decision rests with His Majesty.

News of Anwar's audience with the Yang di-Pertuan Agong comes at a time when Muhyiddin is finding his popularity sliding among a substantial number of Malaysians, in particular over his Perutusan Khas a few days ago with regards to the COVID-19 pandemic. We have been reading and hearing of what the prime minister said. So too the criticisms hurled. Hence I will not be repeating what has been said and what is being said. I'll end by saying this: October 13 Tuesday is a big day. - Mohsin Abdullah

Throwing a spanner into 
Anwar's 'dreamworks'...

Anwar Ibrahim’s bid to become prime minister could not have come at a worse time. He had just stated that he had an overwhelming number of MPs supporting him and that the present government under Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin had fallen when the Yang Di-Pertuan Agong fell ill and had to be treated at the IJN Kuala Lumpur. The King is now recuperating and has decided to grant an audience to Anwar on October 13.

Since Anwar made his startling statement, many new developments have taken place to his disadvantage. There has been a dramatic spike in Covid-19 infections, and the whole nation is focused on this serious health issue. A change of government at this juncture could upset a wide range of activities planned to contain the pandemic and the socio-economic problems.

The King had already previously firmly stated that national and political stability are crucial to deal with the pandemic. A change in the top administration of the country will mean it will be back to square one.

A number of Umno MPs whom Anwar must have depended on providing the overwhelming numbers have since backtracked. Anwar’s deal with some Umno members and leaders - allegedly that they will be freed from corruption charges - has surprised DAP. It is uncertain whether DAP will live by its high ideals and principles or compromise for power and positions. This will be an important decision for the party.
Anwar’s rejection of support from Dr Mahathir Mohamad’s Pejuang means that the bad blood between them will continue. Mahathir could thwart Anwar’s chances as combined with Shafie Apdal’s Warisan party; he has a sizeable number of MPs. These MPs will be a swing factor in any confidence vote in parliament. More than that, Mahathir might think that Anwar is out for vengeance and will do the utmost to prevent the latter from becoming prime minister.

The victory in the just concluded Sabah state polls has boosted Muhyiddin’s position although the resulting spike from the Covid-19 cases has somewhat dampened it. Although the PM has a tenuous grip with a razor-thin parliamentary majority, most Malaysians feel that given the health and socio-economic problems to worry about, the present government should be allowed to continue.

A new government cannot do much more than the present one due to the economic slowdown and financial constraints imposed by the massive socio-economic stimulus packages to contain the pandemic.

A snap election is out of the reckoning considering the ‘election spike’ in Covid-19 infections in Sabah. The King, given his present state of health, is not going to opt for the onerous interviews with Anwar’s supporters. The King cannot be just content with Anwar’s statutory declarations but will need more solid proof to oust Muhyiddin.

Most probably the King will ask Anwar to wait for the next parliamentary sitting to test a vote of confidence against the PM. A lot of things can change in the interim, and it also gives Muhyiddin time to shore up support for his leadership. It is said that politics is the art of the possible. Whether Anwar has the ‘overwhelming numbers’ or is going to give Malaysians an ‘overwhelming shock’ will be known soon. - V Thomas

cheers.

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