27 kerusi dimenangi BN dalam pilihan raya umum diragui...

PKR hari ini berkata mereka telah menerima 237 laporan penipuan yang berlaku ketika Pilihan Raya 2013 di 27 kawasan Parlimen yang dimenangi Barisan Nasional (BN).

Pengarah Strategik PKR, Rafizi Ramli, berkata, pasukan #siasatPRU13 yang diketuainya turut menemui keraguan di lapan kerusi Dewan Undangan Negeri (DUN) di Perak, Kedah dan Pulau Pinang, dan akan meneliti kesemua kerusi berkenaan.

“PKR akan bekerjasama dengan DAP dan PAS untuk menjalankan siasatan,” katanya kepada pemberita di Ibu Pejabat PKR di sini. “Oleh kerana 19 daripada kerusi ini dimenangi tipis oleh BN adalah kerusi PKR, proses mengumpul maklumat dan bukti bagi tujuan petisyen pilihan raya sedang giat dijalankan.”

 

Rafizi juga mengesahkan Pakatan Rakyat (PR) juga akan mengemukakan petisyen mengenai penipuan dalam pilihan raya umum ke-13 pada hujung Mei ini, namun mendakwa undang-undang pilihan raya tidak “mesra” pembangkang.

“Kami akan kemuka petisyen hujung Mei ini ... bagaimanapun undang-undang semuanya menentang kami kerana BN yang buat undang-undang,” katanya.

“Saya tidak menjangkakan petisyen akan berpihak kepada pembangkang,” katanya dan menambah, beliau tidak mempercayai gesaan pemimpin BN supaya menyuarakan rasa ketidak puasan hati mereka berhubung perjalanan pilihan raya melalui petisyen.

Ketika sidang media itu juga, Rafizi turut mengemukakan senarai antara kerusi yang diraguinya, termasuklah Bentong; Kuala Selangor; Baram; Sungai Besar; Pasir Gudang; Labis; Machang; Ketereh; Titiwangsa; Tebrau; Bagan Serai; Kota Marudu; dan Beufort.

 

(Parlimen Kota Marudu P168.. Undi rosak berjumlah 911..Undi yang Hilang daripada Peti Undi adalah1273.  Agak mengelirukan keputusan PRU 13, Calon BN hanya menang dengan majoriti 842 Undi sahaja, kepada Datuk Maijol dari PKR...

APAKAH ALASAN DENGAN UNDI YANG HILANG?? SIAPA YANG SEPATUTNYA BERTANGGUNGJAWAP DALAM KEHILANGAN KERTAS UNDI???)

Rafizi turut menyenaraikan kerusi Setiawangsa; Segamat; Ledang; Balik Pulau; Kulim Bandar Baharu; Pulai; dan Kuala Kangsar; Muar; Pendang; Hulu Selangor; Sabak Bernam; Merbok; Pensiangan; dan Saratok.

Ahli Parlimen Pandan itu turut menegaskan, daripada 27 kerusi Parlimen berkenaan, hanya dua sahaja yang mereka masih lagi belum menerima laporan penipuan iaitu di kerusi Parlimen Machang dan Hulu Selangor.

Menangis kalah dengan pompuan..

Antara kriteria utama yang menjadi fokus siasatan mereka jelas Rafizi adalah termasuk margin kemenangan tipis bawah 5 peratus; margin kemenangan tidak sepadan dengan undi rosak apabila undi rosak lebih besar daripada margin kemenangan; peratusan undi pos dan undi awal mengatasi margin kemenangan undi biasa sehingga keputusan pengundi biasa bertukar akibat pola undian kedua-dua undi berkenaan yang diragukan; serta kerusi yang dilaporkan bukti kukuh beserta laporan polis.

PKR juga jelas Rafizi turut menumpukan kepada enam senarai penipuan yang jelas iaitu; pengundi dilarang mengundi kerana undi mereka dibuang orang lain; BN membeli undi; dakwat kekal tidak kekal; kesalahan Suruhanjaya Pilihan Raya (SPR) menandatangani Borang14 sebelum pengiraan; dan pengundi warga asing.

Kertas undi di buang.. Kertas itu kebanyakkan pangkah PAS.. Lokasi Kijing, Marang, Terengganu..

“Kami mempunyai bukti bergambar dan video untuk menyokong dakwaan kami di kerusi Parlimen Balik Pulau,” katanya mendakwa berjaya memperolehi gambar pengundi menukarkan vaucer kepada wang tunai.

“Kami sedang berusaha mendapatkan pengundi yang berani tampil mendedahkan tentang kewujudan vaucer berkenaan,” tambah pemimpin muda PKR itu lagi- malaysian insider

Rafizi's team to probe 27 seats for fraud...

The team assembled by PKR director of strategy Rafizi Ramli to probe electoral frauds has identified 27 Parliament seats to scrutinise for irregularities, and which will also have a high probability of election petitions being filed in the coming days.

Of the 27, 19 are PKR-contested seats and the remaining seats contested by its two Pakatan Rakyat coalition partners DAP and PAS.

The 19 seats PKR lost marginally are Baram, Pasir Gudang, Machang, Ketereh, Bagan Serai, Kota Marudu, Beaufort, Setiawangsa, Segamat, Ledang, Balik Pulau, Kulim Bandar Baharu, Muar, Hulu Selangor, Sabak Bernam, Merbok, Pensiangan, Tebrau and Saratok.

The seats contested by DAP are Bentong and Labis, while for PAS the seats are Kuala Selangor, Sungai Besar, Titiwangsa, Pulai, Kuala Kangsar and Pendang.

BN won 133 seats in the May 5 general election, against 89 won by Pakatan.

Had Pakatan won the 27 parliamentary seats under scrutiny, it would have formed the federal government for the first time with a simple majority.

Rafizi said that his team, dubbed Siasat PRU13, has received 237 reports of irregularities which have been classified in four categories:

- A narrow margin of victory, of less than five percent

- A narrow margin which may not tally with the spoilt votes recorded, where the number of spoilt votes is bigger than the margin of victory

- The percentage of postal voters and early voters which bypassed the margin of victory of the normal voters, where the outcome was affected by the postal and early voters

- Seats where there was alleged fraud and where police reports have been lodged

The team will begin to record statements from witnesses from next week and to highlight the irregularities discovered to the media.

In addition to the 27 federal seats, there were similar problems in eight state seats in Kedah, Penang and Perak, said Rafizi.

However, the team will focus on the parliamentary seats. It will have help from 67 volunteers who comprise accountants and lawyers.

System ‘heavily stacked’

Rafizi noted that the candidates have 21 days after the election results are gazetted to file petitions in court.

Asked if highlighting the alleged irregularities to the media before these are presented in court could disrupt proceedings of petitions, Rafizi said Pakatan has to be realistic because the system is “heavily stacked against those who want to mount a challenge”.

“The election law is written by BN, and the judge must work within that law. The number one flaw is the defective electoral roll, which cannot be challenged.

“So even if you go to the court and prove that Bangladeshis and Indonesians voted, as far as the court is considered, the roll is still considered valid and the petition will be dismissed,” explained Rafizi.
 
“Ever since the Likas petition in 2001, the electoral roll cannot be challenged (due to an amendment). Even if we have a Bangladeshi or Indonesian being allowed to vote as they have identity cards, this cannot be challenged.

“We know there is a slim chance and everything may be against us but we have to create a momentum (to show that) that cheating to skew the election results exists.”

He claimed that BN is not going to respect the wishes of the people and will manipulate the results in whatever way it can.

The Likas petition had seen the Kota Kinabalu High Court declare the results null and void due to irregularities in the electoral roll. Following the ruling, the Election Act was amended to bar legal challenges to the electoral roll.

Six types of offences

Rafizi listed six types of violations or fraud during the general election:

- Legitimate voters were not allowed to cast their vote as they were marked as already having done so.

- The BN bought votes by offering money or vouchers which could be exchanged for cash, as had been discovered in Balik Pulau, Penang.

- There were unidentified voters at various addresses; the owners of these premises had lodged police reports.

- The indelible ink used to mark the voter’s index finger could be washed off.

- The Election Commission officers signed the Form 14 before counting began, and did not hand the form as required by the law to the candidates or their representatives.

- Foreigners had been issued an identity card so that they could vote.

“Just yesterday at a food court in Balik Pulau, we caught pictures and have proof of agents exchanging vouchers brought by voters into cash,” Rafizi claimed.

He further noted that 19 of the 27 seats highlighted were contested by PKR, which was why the party was spearheading the probe.

“The reason why PKR has the most instances of election fraud [as opposed to DAP and PAS] is because we contested in seats with a mixed demography, of which 60%  to 70% of the voters were Malay.

“These are hotly contested seats where the margin of victory is small, therefore fraud can make an impact. And fraud at most can bring about 2,000 votes.”

Rafizi further noted that postal voters and early voters, who usually account for 20-30 percent of opposition votes had declined to 10-15 percent.

“There is something wrong, When we asked them after they had cast the votes, about 50 percent said they had (voted for Pakatan parties), but this was not reflected in the results. 

The 10-15 percent recorded from early votes was the poorest showing (to date),” he added.-malaysiakini

27 BN federal seats in question, says Rafizi

Dalam PRU-13 PAKATAN RAKYAT telah memecah rekod:

- 4 menteri, 4 timbalan menteri Umno kalah di tgn PR
- Bekas MB Johor berjaya dikalahkan..
- Bekas KM Melaka,Ali Ketam ditangan calon PR..memang awesome!
- PR catat pertambahan membanggakan kerusi di Parlimen dan DUN..
- Pertambahan undi untuk semu kaum, khususnya Melayu dan Cina dlm PR....
- 4 kerusi kubu kuat BN di Johor!..
- Negeri2 yg dimenangi PR, semuanya menang besar, menang 2/3...
-Sementara BN Tganu dan Perak, BN hanya catat menang mudah...
- MCA,Gerakan dan MIC kalah teruk secara mendadak kpd PR

The Post Election Depression. When infected, they will start to point fingers to someone else, not looking for their own weakness. Few peoples who are said infected is:

1) Raja Nong Chik ( blaming the social media)
2) Ali Ketam ( blaming the Chinese/Malays not grateful)
3) Mat Said ( Gonna punish the one who did'nt vote for BN)
4. Najib Tun Razak ( blaming the Chinese voters)

Indians, too, backed Pakatan in GE13...

In the recently concluded GE13, we have witnessed quite an obvious trend of the Chinese predominantly voting for the federal opposition Pakatan Rakyat. The Malays on the other hand had been generally supportive of the ruling coalition Barisan Nasional (BN), barring a few states like Selangor, Kelantan and Terengganu.

There has been very little mentioned about the Indian voting trend. Therefore this article is intended to shed some light into how the Indians voted, taking into account the local demographics of the various constituencies.

During the build up towards GE13, there had been a lot of chest thumping by Barisan Nasional, particularly by the MIC leadership, that the Indian support had returned to pre-2008 levels. It had been speculated that the community’s anger towards the BN government following the Hindraf-instigated 2007 protest and the subsequent ISA crackdown of its key leaders had subsided following the overtures made by Prime Minister Najib Abdul Razak.

The community had also felt letdown by some Pakatan Rakyat state governments - particularly noted was the disillusionment towards the PAS-led Kedah state government for failing to honour its promise to declare Thaipusam a state holiday, along with the failure of its state executive councillor S Manikumar (left) in managing a lot of issues concerning the Indian community residing mainly in the southern tip of the rice bowl state.

The community was however noted to be generally very pleased with the performance of the DAP-led Penang and PKR-led Selangor state governments - particularly in relation to the land issues plaguing the temples and Tamil schools, and state employment opportunities for the Indians.

In the days approaching GE13, Najib appeared to have pulled off a coup when P Waythamoorthy, leader of one of the many fractions of the fractured 2007 Hindraf movement, signed a memorandum of understanding with his government and subsequently urged the Indian community to return BN to the parliament with a two-thirds majority.

The effect of this development was quite difficult to be interpreted as there was immediate disapproval from previous Hindraf associates including from none other than Waythamoorthy’s own brother P Uthayakumar, who in the eyes of many among the Indian community is still the de facto leader of Hindraf.

There were strong nationwide protests against Waythamoorthy for this perceived betrayal in inking a deal with the Umno-led BN government and this, along with the candidature of Zulkifli Noordin representing BN in the Shah Alam parliamentary constituency after having only recently insulted Hindusim and Indians over video recordings, didn’t bode very well on paper for the BN with regard to Indian support.

How MIC fared

So how did the Indians actually vote at the end? To understand this, let us first look at how MIC fared. In contesting nine parliamentary seats and 18 state seats, it only won four parliament and five state seats, immediately already indicating an abysmal result and poor Indian support for its candidates.

In the five parliament seats it lost (Sungai Siput, Kapar, Subang, Teluk Kemang, Kota Raja), they were predominantly urban Malay majority seats and this means MIC cannot blame the poor Chinese support for BN as a cause for its defeat.

In fact it’s well known that the BN had on average between 60-80 percent of the Malay electorate support for the coalition in GE13 and this therefore indicates that the Indians in urban constituencies had ditched MIC in droves. The Indian support swing towards Pakatan was so strong that even the Malay electorate couldn’t rescue MIC in these constituencies, a fact acknowledged by MIC secretary-general T Murugesan.

For example, in the Kota Raja parliamentary constituency which has 44 percent Malays, 29 percent Indians and 25 percent Chinese - the PAS candidate won by a thumping 29,395 majority, with a vote share of 64 percent of the turnout.

Assuming at best 45-50 percent Malay and 80-90 percent Chinese support for Pakatan, it will still require about 75 percent support from the Indian community to secure the above given majority, and this support proportion was found to be roughly applicable across the other four parliamentary seats where MIC had been soundly defeated.

Nevertheless, MIC, whilst acknowledging poor Indian backing in urban areas, is still in denial with regard to Indian support in the rural areas. They have used the slim victories in Cameron Highlands, Segamat, Hulu Selangor and Tapah to argue their case.

However, a closer look at these constituencies paints a different picture altogether. First of all, these seats had only between 10-14 percent Indian electorate, as compared to the likes of Kota Raja with 29 percent Indians, Sungai Siput with 21 percent Indians and Teluk Kemang with again 21 percent Indians.

Secondly, when analysing the voting streams, the Indian majority streams had actually voted for Pakatan. For example Indian predominant voting streams in Cameron Highlands like Ladang Sungai Palas, Ladang Blue Valleyand Kampung Raja was won comfortably by DAP’s M Manogaran (right) with Indian support approximately about 65 percent for DAP.

Finally, there was a unique factor in each of these constituencies which ensured MIC victory. In Cameron Highlands and Tapah, the presence of 20-30 percent of Orang Asli, a well-known fixed deposit vote bank for the BN, had negated the gain from the Indian support for the Pakatan candidate.

In Hulu Selangor and Segamat, the BN had another form of fixed deposit vote bank - a large Felda electorate to rely upon to ensure MIC victory, with up to 90-95 percent of vote share for BN noted in Felda voting streams.

To further illustrate that the Indians had ditched BN in GE13 regardless whether it was rural or urban localities, we can use the rural Kedah state seat of Lunas as an example - won by PKR with a huge majority of 9,084. The constituency has an electorate breakdown of 46 percent Malays, 28 percent Chinese and 25 percent Indians.

BN, which recaptured Kedah, boasts about 55-60 percent Malay support in that state based on neighbouring state seats statistics. If this is applied, Pakatan would have received 40-45 percent Malay support, along with roughly 80-85 percent Chinese support.

Therefore for the PKR candidate to have won this seat with such majority, Indian support about 75-80 percent would have been required, again dispelling claims that rural Indian support had waned for Pakatan. The same argument can also be applied for other rural/semi-urban ‘Indian’ seats where the MIC had been decimated, namely Bukit Selambau (Kedah), Sabai (Pahang), Hutan Melintang (Perak) and Ijok (Selangor).

Pakatan Indian candidates fare extremely well

Pakatan Indian candidates fared extremely well in GE13, with solid support from the Indian electorate. A total of eight Indian MPs and 18 state assemblypersons have been elected from the Pakatan side of the divide, compared to the four Indian MPs and five assemblypersons from BN.

Some of the constituencies with the highest Indian electorates in the country like Prai (36 percfent), Seri Andalas (35 percent) and Buntong (48 percent) witnessed massive victories for Pakatan candidates. Prof P Ramasamy, the deputy chief minister II (DCM II) of Penang representing DAP, secured a whopping 78 percent of the votes cast in his Prai constituency while his rival L Krishnan of MIC was only about 900 votes away from losing his deposit.

Xavier Jayakumar (left), the former Selangor exco member, won by a whopping 15,633 majority in Seri Andalas, smashing his BN rival, MIC’s Youth chief T Mohan. In both these constituencies, analysis of the Indian majority streams indicate Indian support to be anywhere between 70-80 percent for Pakatan to secure such vast majorities.

Therefore this analysis estimates that the Indian support in urban areas for Pakatan to be between 70-80 percent and in rural areas to be between 60-70 percent. MIC’s far and few victories were due to either Malay Felda settler’s or Orang Asli’s strong backing for the BN - the last remaining bastion of BN support.

The BN, and MIC in particular, had again failed to muster the Indian electorate’s support, faring even worse than in 2008. Their earlier false belief that the Indian support had returned to the BN after witnessing a reduction in open agitation by the community, was clearly dispelled based on the GE13 results. The Indian electorate had come out in force and voted for Pakatan, matching approximately that of 2008 elections.-malaysiakini

cheers.