Hasil kajian yang didedahkan oleh Universiti Malaya pada hari ini menunjukkan Barisan Nasional (BN) mungkin memenangi Pilihan Raya Umum (PRU) ke-13 tetapi kajian itu juga menunjukkan semakin ramai orang yakin Pakatan Rakyat (PR) mampu menawan Putrajaya.
Kajian bertajuk “Pola pengundian menjelang PRU Ke-13” itu telah dijalankan antara 1 hingga 16 September, manakala kajian sebelum ini ialah pada Mac lalu.
Kajian yang dibuat oleh Pusat Kajian Demokrasi Dan Pilihan Raya UM (UMCEDEL) itu menunjukkan BN akan menang dengan 44 peratus sokongan tetapi angka tersebut dianggap menyusut kerana pada Mac lalu BN memperoleh 49 peratus.
Bagi PR pula, kajian menunjukkan peningkatan daripada hanya 21 peratus pada Mac kepada 30 peratus.
Hasil kajian itu juga memberi petunjuk Selangor dan Kedah mungkin kekal menjadi milik PR, namun sedikit kebimbangan di Kelantan ekoran sedikit kemerosotan sokongan terhadap kerajaan PAS.
Keyakinan kepada kerajaan Pakatan di Selangor juga meningkat dengan ketara daripada 38 peratus kepada 50 peratus manakala untuk BN daripada 28 peratus jatuh kepada 16 peratus.
Situasi sama juga berlaku di Kedah dengan keyakinan kepada PR naik daripada 37 peratus kepada 48 peratus dan kepada BN turun daripada 40 peratus kepada 32 peratus.
Keadaan sedikit membimbangkan di Kelantan apabila keyakinan kepada PR jatuh sedikit dari 44 peratus kepada 41 peratus manakala BN naik daripada 27 peratus kepada 32 peratus.
Bilangan responden yang terlibat dalam kajian ialah seramai 1536 orang dan dilakukan secara bersemuka dengan melibatkan etnik Melayu, Cina dan India.
Pemilihan responden dipilih secara rawak dengan soalan kaji selidik berstruktur.
Turut menjadi perhatian dalam kajian kali ini ialah harapan rakyat amat tinggi agar berlaku perdebatan antara Perdana Menteri, Datuk Seri Najib Razak dan ketua pembangkang, Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim.
Sebanyak 72 peratus berharap ianya diadakan manakala hanya 17 peratus tidak bersetuju dan 11 peratus tidak pasti.
Selain itu, kajian turut menunjukkan populariti Najib semakin menurun dari 61 peratus pada bulan Mac lalu kepada 58 peratus pada September 2012 ini.- malaysian insider
Populariti Najib merosot
UM survey points to BN win, but increased support for PR in GE13...
A survey conducted by Universiti Malaya (UM) today showed that Barisan Nasional (BN) would likely win the 13th general election but also an increase in public confidence that Pakatan Rakyat (PR) could take over Putrajaya.
The survey “Polling Trends in the Run-up to the 13th General Election” was carried out from September 1-16. A similar survey was carried out last March.
University of Malaya’s Centre for Democracy and Elections (UMCEDEL) was responsible for the survey, which found that BN garnered 44 per cent of support among those polled, a drop from last March’s results that stood at 49 per cent.
For PR, the survey showed an increase in support, from only 21 per cent in March to 30 per cent.
Survey results also indicated that PR would likely hold onto Selangor and Kedah.
It, however, noted a decrease in support among Kelantan residents towards the state’s PAS-led government.
Public confidence in the PR-led government in Selangor also led to a marked increase from 38 per cent to 50 per cent in the state while for BN, there was a decrease from 28 per cent to 16 per cent.
A similar pattern was seen in Kedah, where confidence in PR rose from 37 per cent to 48 per cent, while BN saw a drop in confidence among those polled, from 40 per cent to 32 per cent.
In Kelantan, however, public confidence in PR fell from 44 per cent to 41 per cent, while the belief in BN’s ability to govern the state rose from 27 per cent to 32 per cent in September.
The face-to-face survey involved 1,536 respondents, from across all three major ethnic groups. Each person was randomly selected to answer a structured survey.
The survey also addressed public receptiveness to the prospect of a debate between Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak and PR’s de facto leader, Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim.
It found that 72 per cent of respondents were in support of such an event, 17 per cent were against it while another 11 per cent were unsure whether it should take place at all.
The survey also showed that Najib’s popularity had fallen from 61 per cent in March to 58 per cent this month.- malaysian insider
Survey detects dip in support for Najib
cheers.
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